The answer is not as obvious, coming from The Sensible Conservative,
as one might think.
Failure is not to be confused with unpopularity. During most of his presidency, Barack Obama’s
approval rating has been below fifty percent.
Doing the right thing, being effective, being successful do
not automatically translate into popularity.
A stark, unsettling example: Abraham Lincoln, prior to the capture of
Atlanta in 1864, was considered a certainty to lose re-election. According to historians, even the president
agreed.
President Obama took office in January 2009 on a tide of (forgive
me) “hope and change”. Retrospective cynicism
might dismiss the campaign slogan as a fraud.
But that would ignore the first black president’s popular promises to
promote a post-racial society and to end President Bush’s deeply unpopular Iraq
war. He failed on the first but
succeeded on the second.
It’s hard to dispute that race relations have deteriorated
since President Obama took office. The
President’s tendency to take sides in confrontations between white police
officers and blacks didn’t help. (The
episode involving the Cambridge cop and the Harvard professor was an early
episode.) Barack Obama’s comments
reinforced views held within African American communities that they remained a
target of wide-spread discrimination. And
certainly some whites believed that they were being singled out for criticism by
a black president because of their race. Maybe projections of a post-racial society
that did not come to pass with the ascendency of the Obama presidency generated
a pessimism across the “racial divide” that exacerbated tensions.
In any event, so much for the hope that energized the Obama
Administration eight years ago. It was soon
dashed.
As for change, it certainly came. Iraq was abandoned. ISIS came into being and Syria exploded.
On the domestic front, the Democrats controlled Congress
for the first two years of the new administration and approved the so-called
Affordable Care Act.
In 2011 and forward, with Congress no longer hospitable to
Obama’s leftist change agenda, the President focused on legislation by fiat (“executive
orders”) affecting immigration and environmental policies, in particular.
Change, however, to be of long term significance, must
last. Obamacare, approved without any
GOP support, appears on life support because of its strictly partisan
birth. No Republican has an interest in
its survival. Presidential attempts to
make or modify law by the stroke of a pen can just as easily be crossed out.
In retrospect, the hope for an uplifting president was
either a naïve wish or a cynical promise depending on who expressed the
sentiment. But Barack Obama did bring
about change. So, in that respect, his
Administration succeeded. The unpopular
wars in the Middle East no longer have major U.S. involvement and America’s
health care system has been substantially revamped.
The Administration’s military activism – the lack thereof –
was popular; Obama’s executive orders were not.
Interestingly enough, it can be argued that the Administration’s public
standing, while bolstered by its “no more wars” policy, was crippled by the
deceitful promotion of the Health Care Act.
That caused Democrats to lose control of the House of Representatives
and insured that changes imposed by the executive alone risked being ephemeral.
As for hope, it was an unrealized dream. But, in the sense of bringing change, Obama
was successful in serving his objectives.
Whether these changes were in America’s best interests is a different
question. And, of course, to the extent
that they were not, Barack Obama failed as president in the only sense that really
matters.
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