Jeb Bush was a highly regarded Florida governor from 1999
to 2007. Many touted him as a future
president, following in the footsteps of his dad. But his brother beat him to it. And perhaps because of that, Jeb had not been
on the political scene in recent years until 2015 when he announced his
candidacy for the 2016 GOP presidential nomination.
Although he topped polls for a brief period after that, his
national Republican support quickly dropped into the single digits where it
remains today. (He received less than
three percent in Iowa.)
What happened? Times
change. The Bush name long ago lost
appeal for most GOP voters. The Iraq war
played a part as did George W’s unpopular spending policies. Further, putting a third Bush in the White
House smacked of a dynasty not unlike the prospect of electing another
Clinton.
By all accounts, Jeb Bush is a bright, thoughtful
individual who would be a solid president.
But heritage for him is plainly disqualifying. And his own personality has a role – albeit minor
in my estimation – in his poor polling.
His personality is mild in a year where a forceful presence is more
highly valued.
The sad aspect of his candidacy is that all of these
considerations were readily apparent before 2015. A Jeb Bush candidacy would be a loser.
So why did he run?
The so-called GOP establishment wanted him to. They either chose to ignore political
realities or convinced themselves that massive expenditures of money could
overcome them. In either case, they were
fools and made one of the formerly-esteemed Florida ex-governor.
Jeb Bush has been subjected to humiliation as well. Not only has he trailed badly in national
polls behind a loud-mouthed New Yorker and a politically inept neurosurgeon, he
has been forced to call on his mother, Barbara Bush, to say nice things about
him to New Hampshire voters. (What on
earth could she do for him except remind listeners that her son is a Bush? For reasons set forth above, not a smart
move.)
In a few days, it is certainly possible that Jeb Bush will
reach a double digit vote total in New Hampshire. But it will be only a momentary bit of good
news for a doomed campaign. Jeb is going
nowhere.
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