Sunday, April 12, 2015

Bloom Already Off Obama’s Iran Deal Rose

It sure didn’t take long for the petals to start falling.  Ten days ago, the Obama Administration was patting itself on the back for having reached an accord with Iran on a framework for slowing that country’s nuclear bomb development activities.

A few voices on the American front – not just conservative ones – urged caution rather than optimism, noting that Iran’s interpretation of the agreement differed from the Administration’s.
 
Well, it would appear that Iran’s “Supreme Leader” Ali Khamenei has denuded the flower.  He has just announced that all economic sanctions must be lifted immediately as a part of any deal.  This is contrary to Secretary of State Kerry’s “understanding” that sanctions would be phased out incrementally as Iran complied with the prospective agreement.  Further, the head mullah denied the claim by the Administration that Iran had agreed to inspectors having unfettered access to its nuclear program facilities.
 
So what now?

Undoubtedly, President Obama will insist that Iran’s leader’s declarations are not to be taken seriously:  he’s acting intransigently merely to quell the angst of the “death to America” crowd in his country.
 
Oh really?  Why will Obama not take the leader of the world’s biggest supporter of terrorism at his word?  Because our president believes in his ideological heart of hearts that he must try to befriend America’s foes with the expectation that their animosity toward us will dissipate (remember the Russian re-set button?).  So he’s strongly inclined to think that the hostility – and contempt – such efforts generate can’t really be sincere.  Any benefit of doubt  goes to them.  For those not committed out of loyalty or ideology to support whatever Obama wants, Iran’s rebuff should persuade America’s political leaders to kill, sooner or later, the promised accord.

What then?

Sanctions should not only continue, they should be strengthened.  And the objective U.S. policy must return to seeking cessation of Iran’s nuclear program, not merely slowing it.

Interestingly, Obama still claims that a military option remains if negotiations fail.  But you know he doesn’t mean it.  Be confident that Iran’s leaders know that, too.  So they recognize that they have nothing to fear.
 
What other conclusion could they draw from the President’s comments that the sole option to his deal with the Mullahs is war (and he makes abundantly clear that he doesn’t want that)? Rather, he seems obsessed with getting an agreement – any deal, regardless of the apparent obstacles the foe (our enemy) constructs.

It is noteworthy that in a span of only two years, President Obama has gone from saying Iran with a bomb “would threaten the elimination of Israel, the security of Gulf nations and the stability of the global economy” and on the eve of the 2012 Presidential election promises that America would “do whatever it takes to prevent Iran from producing an atomic bomb.”

But now he concedes the right of Tehran to do exactly that.
[It is fair to observe that in light of the President’s frequent deviation from truthfulness (e.g. false descriptions of Obamacare and proclaimed opposition to gay marriage) that he didn’t mean to keep that pledge made during the presidential campaign.]

On one level, the “Supreme Leader’s” disavowal of key tenants of the framework accord seems foolish.  Doesn’t it risk an undesirable reaction from the U.S. which could be avoided simply by allowing more time to pass?  And, in the meantime, Iran could continue with its accelerated bomb production activities.  If the President were someone more realistic – less ideologically naïve – the clear answer would be yes.  But Barack Obama is our president so Tehran sees little to lose.  After all, he does want a deal, any deal, doesn’t he?

How pathetic – and potentially lethal for America and its allies.  What do you think Israel will do when it believes that Iran finally has the capability to destroy it?  The war Obama sought to avoid will come, and he will be a key reason why.

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